Will Dogecoin ETF Approval Ignite a $10 DOGE Price Rally?

Key Insights:
- Dogecoin ETF approval deadline is set for October 18, 2025, by the SEC.
- Bloomberg analyst gives Dogecoin ETF a 75% approval chance this year.
- Dogecoin ETF approval could trigger a DOGE rally to $10, analysts suggest.
Dogecoin ETF approval has turned out to be a hot topic in the cryptocurrency community as traders wait for a possible rally to $10. The imminent Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) ruling may be a game-changer for the popular meme coin, with a vital deadline looming later in the year.
Dogecoin ETF Approval Deadline Set for October 18, 2025, by the SEC
Notably, the SEC has designated October 18, 2025, as the final deadline for the approval of the Dogecoin ETF. This date is the final possible extension for the regulatory body to make a final determination on the proposed Dogecoin exchange-traded funds. The commission has a history of postponing ETF decisions to the last minute, as in the case of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in the last couple of years.
In addition, the SEC has delayed Dogecoin ETF decisions several times this year in a pattern similar to that followed by other crypto ETFs. Similarly, XRP and Litecoin ETFS also encountered similar delays in April, representing the cautious approach of regulators to digital asset funds.
Dogecoin ETFs may be on a similar course, with the next significant deadline being June 17, 2025. Even with all these delays, the Dogecoin community still hopes for a positive outcome by the set October deadline.
Bloomberg Analyst Gives Dogecoin ETF a 75% Approval Chance This Year
According to Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart, there is a 75% approval rate for Dogecoin ETFs this year, making it one of the more likely candidates to get approved by the SEC. This perspective positioned Dogecoin in a competitive position behind only Litecoin, which has a 90% approval likelihood according to Seyffart’s estimates.
In an X post earlier this year, Seyffart drew attention to Dogecoin’s increasing institutional interest as one possible factor for its ETF approval. The analyst noted that the popularity and well-deserved recognition of Dogecoin could make it a desirable portfolio element, with increased mainstream acceptance bringing the cryptocurrency into the limelight.
Dogecoin ETF Approval Could Trigger a DOGE Rally to $10,
Market analysts have speculated that a Dogecoin ETF approval might bring a strong price rally for the popular meme coin. Some have projected that DOGE could soar to as high as $10 if it gets regulatory approval similar to what happened with Bitcoin and Ethereum after the launch of ETFs.
Investment companies such as 21 Shares have also highlighted Dogecoin’s potential as a diversified portfolio asset in which regulated ETF inclusion could encourage massive financial inflows. The anticipation surrounding a potential approval has already stirred excitement in the Dogecoin community, fueling hopes for a major price breakout in the coming months.
Meanwhile, analyst Grumlin noted that Dogecoin price may stay range-bound between $0.143 and $0.20, as reflected on the chart. This tight consolidation corresponds to the overall market’s uncertainty, fuelled by looming ETF decisions.
Furthermore, the support at $0.143 has been resolute, but the price will need to break the $0.20 to confirm a break upwards. With no ETF approval, the analyst noted that DOGE might find it hard to regain momentum and might stay in this range until clearer regulatory signals dawn.
Another analyst, Shieldmetax, also drew attention to the fact that the chances that ETF approval could continue to rise, meaning that Dogecoin could experience a significant price surge. The Analyst forecasted a possible 105% rally due to increasing institutional interest and bullish mood.
However, the meme coin has to first break above key resistance levels, making the SEC decision on the coin ETF a key turning point for a long-term uptrend.